College Football Analytics & Momentum Tracking
Conference title and CFP probabilities from 20,000 simulated seasons.
Simulated CCG appearance and conference title probabilities
| RK | TEAM | CONF | PROJ W | CCG% | TITLE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9.0 | ||
| 2 | UNLV | Mountain West | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9.7 | ||
| 4 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 8.8 | ||
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 8.6 | ||
| 6 | South Florida | American Athletic | 8.9 | ||
| 7 | Boise State | Pac-12 | 6.7 | ||
| 8 | Utah | Big 12 | 8.9 | ||
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8.9 | ||
| 10 | North Texas | American Athletic | 8.1 | ||
| 11 | Liberty | Conference USA | 7.5 | ||
| 12 | San Diego State | Pac-12 | 6.4 | ||
| 13 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 7.7 | ||
| 14 | Oregon | Big Ten | 8.9 | ||
| 15 | Indiana | Big Ten | 9.0 | ||
| 16 | SMU | ACC | 8.3 | ||
| 17 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 7.7 | ||
| 18 | Texas State | Pac-12 | 6.2 | ||
| 19 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7.6 | ||
| 20 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6.0 | ||
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 8.3 | ||
| 22 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7.1 | ||
| 23 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6.4 | ||
| 24 | Alabama | SEC | 8.1 | ||
| 25 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7.6 | ||
| 26 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8.6 | ||
| 27 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7.2 | ||
| 28 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6.7 | ||
| 29 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6.6 | ||
| 30 | Fresno State | Pac-12 | 5.7 | ||
| 31 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6.8 | ||
| 32 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 6.5 | ||
| 33 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7.9 | ||
| 34 | Utah State | Pac-12 | 5.5 | ||
| 35 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6.8 | ||
| 36 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6.9 | ||
| 37 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 7.1 | ||
| 38 | Clemson | ACC | 7.7 | ||
| 39 | UTSA | American Athletic | 7.0 | ||
| 40 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 5.8 | ||
| 41 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7.6 | ||
| 42 | San José State | Mountain West | 6.5 | ||
| 43 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7.0 | ||
| 44 | Tennessee | SEC | 7.4 | ||
| 45 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6.4 | ||
| 46 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6.5 | ||
| 47 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7.4 | ||
| 48 | BYU | Big 12 | 7.1 | ||
| 49 | Texas | SEC | 6.9 | ||
| 50 | USC | Big Ten | 7.5 | ||
| 51 | Northern Illinois | Mountain West | 5.9 | ||
| 52 | Louisville | ACC | 6.9 | ||
| 53 | Virginia | ACC | 7.4 | ||
| 54 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6.5 | ||
| 55 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7.4 | ||
| 56 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7.8 | ||
| 57 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6.7 | ||
| 58 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5.7 | ||
| 59 | UTEP | Mountain West | 5.8 | ||
| 60 | Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 6.4 | ||
| 61 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7.3 | ||
| 62 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 5.6 | ||
| 63 | Oklahoma | SEC | 6.9 | ||
| 64 | Colorado State | Pac-12 | 4.9 | ||
| 65 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6.3 | ||
| 66 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6.1 | ||
| 67 | Florida State | ACC | 6.8 | ||
| 68 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7.0 | ||
| 69 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6.5 | ||
| 70 | Navy | American Athletic | 6.3 | ||
| 71 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 6.0 | ||
| 72 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 6.7 | ||
| 73 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4.7 | ||
| 74 | Missouri | SEC | 6.9 | ||
| 75 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6.3 | ||
| 76 | Delaware | Conference USA | 5.2 | ||
| 77 | Washington | Big Ten | 7.2 | ||
| 78 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6.2 | ||
| 79 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5.9 | ||
| 80 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6.8 | ||
| 81 | Arizona | Big 12 | 6.5 | ||
| 82 | NC State | ACC | 6.7 | ||
| 83 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6.6 | ||
| 84 | South Carolina | SEC | 6.7 | ||
| 85 | Auburn | SEC | 6.5 | ||
| 86 | TCU | Big 12 | 6.5 | ||
| 87 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6.5 | ||
| 88 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6.4 | ||
| 89 | LSU | SEC | 6.4 | ||
| 90 | Duke | ACC | 6.3 | ||
| 91 | App State | Sun Belt | 5.9 | ||
| 92 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 6.3 | ||
| 93 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5.4 | ||
| 94 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5.8 | ||
| 95 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 6.0 | ||
| 96 | Army | American Athletic | 6.0 | ||
| 97 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 4.8 | ||
| 98 | UCF | Big 12 | 6.5 | ||
| 99 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6.4 | ||
| 100 | Akron | Mid-American | 5.3 | ||
| 101 | Houston | Big 12 | 6.3 | ||
| 102 | Florida | SEC | 5.8 | ||
| 103 | Temple | American Athletic | 5.4 | ||
| 104 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5.1 | ||
| 105 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5.7 | ||
| 106 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5.7 | ||
| 107 | California | ACC | 5.6 | ||
| 108 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5.2 | ||
| 109 | Arkansas | SEC | 5.6 | ||
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6.5 | ||
| 111 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4.8 | ||
| 112 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6.2 | ||
| 113 | Kentucky | SEC | 5.5 | ||
| 114 | UAB | American Athletic | 5.1 | ||
| 115 | Stanford | ACC | 5.0 | ||
| 116 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5.5 | ||
| 117 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5.9 | ||
| 118 | North Carolina | ACC | 5.0 | ||
| 119 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5.1 | ||
| 120 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5.4 | ||
| 121 | Rice | American Athletic | 4.7 | ||
| 122 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4.8 | ||
| 123 | Boston College | ACC | 4.9 | ||
| 124 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5.6 | ||
| 125 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5.7 | ||
| 126 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5.7 | ||
| 127 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 5.0 | ||
| 128 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5.7 | ||
| 129 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4.8 | ||
| 130 | UCLA | Big Ten | 5.2 | ||
| 131 | Syracuse | ACC | 4.4 | ||
| 132 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 4.2 | ||
| 133 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4.2 | ||
| 134 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4.5 | ||
| 135 | North Dakota State | Mountain West | 3.3 | ||
| 136 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9.9 | ||
| 137 | Sacramento State | Mid-American | 3.3 | ||
| 138 | UConn | FBS Independents | 7.2 |