CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#127

Middle Tennessee

Conference USA · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating -12.2
Strength of Schedule #114
Strength of Record #106
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 156
Comp % 56.4%#119
Yards 913
YPA 5.8
ADOT 8.1
INT 1
Success 38.5%#121
PPA 0.20#90
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
2 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 68
YPC 34.0
Success 25.0%#90
PPA 0.31#74
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 44
YPC 22.0
Success 50.0%#48
PPA 1.18#54
Deep Right
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 68
YPC 34.0
Success 28.6%#92
PPA 0.12#93
Short Left
51.9%
27 / 52 completions
Yards 219
YPC 8.1
Success 38.5%#117
PPA -0.07#131
Short Middle
62.5%
20 / 32 completions
Yards 236
YPC 11.8
Success 40.6%#112
PPA 0.37#82
Short Right
66.7%
34 / 51 completions
Yards 268
YPC 7.9
Success 39.2%#105
PPA 0.24#70
No recorded location 1 / 2 completions
Yards 10
YPA 5.0
Comp % 50.0%
Success 50.0%
PPA 1.48

154 of 156 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Murray State W 38–14
-12.7
Wk 2
@ Marshall L 26–28
-0.3
Wk 3
vs Nevada W 27–20
+8.2
Wk 4
@ Jacksonville State L 13–23
0.0
Wk 5
@ Kansas L 0–55
-26.7
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7 Oct 13
vs Delaware Proj: +3.5 47% —
Wk 8 Oct 20
@ Florida International Proj: +14.1 16% —
Wk 9 Oct 28
vs Kennesaw State Proj: +1.9 47% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Western Kentucky Proj: -2.7 62% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Liberty Proj: +26.8 0% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Sam Houston Proj: +4.6 38% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs New Mexico State Proj: -2.1 50% —