CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#4

Ohio State

Big Ten · Conf Rank #1 ·
Net Rating +28.1
Strength of Schedule #8
Strength of Record #7
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 181
Comp % 71.8%#8
Yards 2,027
YPA 11.2
ADOT 10.8
INT 5
Success 59.1%#2
PPA 0.67#3
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
60.0%
6 / 10 completions
Yards 199
YPC 33.2
Success 60.0%#13
PPA 1.18#26
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 22
YPC 22.0
Success 25.0%#104
PPA -0.12#111
Deep Right
58.3%
7 / 12 completions
Yards 255
YPC 36.4
Success 58.3%#16
PPA 1.26#24
Short Left
71.0%
44 / 62 completions
Yards 480
YPC 10.9
Success 59.7%#15
PPA 0.53#23
Short Middle
75.0%
15 / 20 completions
Yards 246
YPC 16.4
Success 65.0%#8
PPA 1.01#5
Short Right
80.7%
46 / 57 completions
Yards 435
YPC 9.5
Success 56.1%#19
PPA 0.43#30
No recorded location 11 / 16 completions
Yards 390
YPA 24.4
Comp % 68.8%
Success 68.8%
PPA 1.18

165 of 181 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Ball State W 56–3
+5.1
Wk 2
@ Texas L 23–24
-2.0
Wk 3
vs Kent State W 59–3
+7.4
Wk 4
vs Illinois W 42–19
+1.5
Wk 5
@ Iowa W 31–14
+13.8
Wk 6
vs Maryland W 45–16
-2.0
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Indiana Proj: -1.8 53% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ USC Proj: -7.5 71% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Oregon Proj: -10.4 74% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Northwestern Proj: -22.1 94% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Nebraska Proj: -9.8 73% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Michigan Proj: -17.5 88% —