CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#57

Illinois

Big Ten · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating +6.0
Strength of Schedule #23
Strength of Record #81
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 194
Comp % 65.5%#51
Yards 1,514
YPA 7.8
ADOT 10.0
INT 4
Success 54.2%#17
PPA 0.37#43
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
46.2%
6 / 13 completions
Yards 206
YPC 34.3
Success 53.8%#23
PPA 1.10#29
Deep Middle
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 50
YPC 25.0
Success 40.0%#75
PPA 0.28#100
Deep Right
12.5%
1 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 27
YPC 27.0
Success 12.5%#126
PPA -0.50#126
Short Left
73.8%
48 / 65 completions
Yards 533
YPC 11.1
Success 60.0%#12
PPA 0.51#28
Short Middle
62.5%
15 / 24 completions
Yards 169
YPC 11.3
Success 58.3%#34
PPA 0.12#121
Short Right
74.6%
53 / 71 completions
Yards 448
YPC 8.4
Success 54.9%#22
PPA 0.38#40
No recorded location 2 / 6 completions
Yards 81
YPA 13.5
Comp % 33.3%
Success 33.3%
PPA -0.94

186 of 194 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs UAB W 42–23
+3.9
Wk 2
vs Duke L 27–31
-9.2
Wk 3
vs Southern Illinois W 48–10
-3.1
Wk 4
@ Ohio State L 19–42
-1.5
Wk 5
vs Purdue L 17–24
-19.0
Wk 6
@ Michigan State W 38–37
+0.4
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Oregon Proj: +15.4 17% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Maryland Proj: -2.3 53% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Nebraska Proj: +9.7 29% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ UCLA Proj: +12.2 18% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Iowa Proj: +12.1 24% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Northwestern Proj: +10.1 26% —