CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#22

Penn State

Big Ten · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating +14.2
Strength of Schedule #54
Strength of Record #88
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 182
Comp % 63.2%#71
Yards 1,507
YPA 8.3
ADOT 9.9
INT 3
Success 47.3%#55
PPA 0.36#46
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
30.0%
3 / 10 completions
Yards 84
YPC 28.0
Success 30.0%#79
PPA -0.04#100
Deep Middle
71.4%
5 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 155
YPC 31.0
Success 71.4%#12
PPA 1.40#46
Deep Right
30.8%
4 / 13 completions
Yards 141
YPC 35.3
Success 38.5%#63
PPA 0.36#79
Short Left
78.3%
36 / 46 completions
Yards 325
YPC 9.0
Success 54.3%#37
PPA 0.43#38
Short Middle
61.5%
24 / 39 completions
Yards 358
YPC 14.9
Success 46.2%#91
PPA 0.48#64
Short Right
65.0%
39 / 60 completions
Yards 347
YPC 8.9
Success 43.3%#76
PPA 0.21#86
No recorded location 4 / 7 completions
Yards 97
YPA 13.9
Comp % 57.1%
Success 57.1%
PPA -0.07

175 of 182 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Marshall W 45–0
+15.6
Wk 2
@ Temple W 27–9
+0.6
Wk 3
vs Buffalo W 55–13
+8.3
Wk 4
vs Wisconsin L 20–24
-17.3
Wk 5
@ Northwestern L 13–34
-21.7
Wk 6
vs USC L 23–31
-7.0
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Michigan Proj: +5.4 38% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Purdue Proj: -17.6 88% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Washington Proj: -2.0 53% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Minnesota Proj: -16.2 88% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Rutgers Proj: -20.1 94% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Maryland Proj: -11.5 76% —