CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#95

Nevada

Mountain West · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating -3.1
Strength of Schedule #111
Strength of Record #115
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 131
Comp % 57.3%#116
Yards 841
YPA 6.4
ADOT 7.9
INT 5
Success 34.4%#134
PPA 0.01#128
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 78
YPC 39.0
Success 28.6%#83
PPA 0.37#67
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.83
Deep Right
55.6%
5 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 187
YPC 37.4
Success 55.6%#20
PPA 1.19#27
Short Left
68.6%
24 / 35 completions
Yards 182
YPC 7.6
Success 34.3%#125
PPA 0.08#115
Short Middle
57.9%
11 / 19 completions
Yards 130
YPC 11.8
Success 47.4%#82
PPA 0.05#126
Short Right
61.1%
33 / 54 completions
Yards 264
YPC 8.0
Success 31.5%#131
PPA 0.10#111
No recorded location 0 / 5 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -3.76

126 of 131 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Western Kentucky W 49–14
+27.3
Wk 2
vs Montana State L 7–20
-38.6
Wk 3
@ Middle Tennessee L 20–27
-8.2
Wk 4
vs Air Force L 33–36
-6.7
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ UTEP W 30–13
+3.5
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ North Dakota State Proj: +13.0 16% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs San José State Proj: -5.6 62% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ UCLA Proj: +23.5 6% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs New Mexico Proj: +10.5 27% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Northern Illinois Proj: -7.9 71% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Hawai'i Proj: -10.9 74% —
Wk 13 Nov 29
@ UNLV Proj: +7.3 33% —