CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#49

TCU

Big 12 · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating +8.6
Strength of Schedule #39
Strength of Record #102
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 158
Comp % 68.4%#24
Yards 1,394
YPA 8.8
ADOT 9.4
INT 4
Success 48.7%#41
PPA 0.36#44
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
70.0%
7 / 10 completions
Yards 273
YPC 39.0
Success 70.0%#7
PPA 1.92#5
Deep Middle
50.0%
3 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 124
YPC 41.3
Success 50.0%#48
PPA 1.16#57
Deep Right
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 42
YPC 42.0
Success 25.0%#101
PPA -0.20#120
Short Left
65.3%
32 / 49 completions
Yards 278
YPC 8.7
Success 42.9%#96
PPA 0.07#118
Short Middle
76.0%
19 / 25 completions
Yards 272
YPC 14.3
Success 56.0%#50
PPA 0.92#10
Short Right
76.7%
46 / 60 completions
Yards 405
YPC 8.8
Success 51.7%#36
PPA 0.42#31
No recorded location 0 / 4 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -4.82

154 of 158 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs North Carolina L 10–15
-9.6
Wk 1
Bye — —
Wk 2
vs Grambling W 63–7
+13.6
Wk 3
vs Arkansas State W 31–7
+4.6
Wk 4
@ UCF L 13–21
-6.3
Wk 5
vs BYU L 10–17
-2.3
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Baylor Proj: +4.8 38% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs West Virginia Proj: -11.5 82% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Kansas Proj: +0.1 50% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Arizona Proj: +7.1 33% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Kansas State Proj: -3.0 62% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Utah Proj: +9.1 29% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
@ Texas Tech Proj: +13.2 16% —