CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#102

App State

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating -4.2
Strength of Schedule #126
Strength of Record #72
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 171
Comp % 65.5%#51
Yards 1,353
YPA 7.9
ADOT 7.6
INT 3
Success 47.6%#52
PPA 0.33#54
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
14.3%
1 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 36
YPC 36.0
Success 14.3%#115
PPA -0.33#112
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 81
YPC 40.5
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 2.13#17
Deep Right
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 91
YPC 30.3
Success 42.9%#50
PPA 1.26#23
Short Left
66.7%
34 / 51 completions
Yards 386
YPC 11.3
Success 45.1%#84
PPA 0.26#80
Short Middle
55.3%
21 / 38 completions
Yards 284
YPC 13.5
Success 44.7%#94
PPA 0.44#73
Short Right
83.6%
51 / 61 completions
Yards 475
YPC 9.3
Success 57.4%#14
PPA 0.48#24
No recorded location 0 / 3 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -5.09

167 of 171 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Maine W 55–3
+11.5
Wk 2
@ East Carolina W 27–24
+7.1
Wk 3
vs Charlotte W 26–21
-10.9
Wk 4
@ NC State L 31–41
+1.8
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Old Dominion L 3–10
-15.3
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Coastal Carolina Proj: -0.6 51% —
Wk 8 Oct 22
vs James Madison Proj: +11.7 24% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Georgia Southern Proj: +8.4 26% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Georgia State Proj: +2.5 47% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Marshall Proj: -1.5 53% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs UL Monroe Proj: -21.4 94% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
@ South Alabama Proj: +1.0 50% —