CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#76

East Carolina

American Athletic · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating +1.3
Strength of Schedule #97
Strength of Record #49
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 149
Comp % 59.7%#101
Yards 975
YPA 6.5
ADOT 8.7
INT 3
Success 40.3%#111
PPA 0.17#101
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
12.5%
1 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 52
YPC 52.0
Success 12.5%#118
PPA -0.25#106
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 61
YPC 61.0
Success 25.0%#104
PPA 1.34#51
Deep Right
28.6%
4 / 14 completions
Yards 123
YPC 30.8
Success 35.7%#73
PPA 0.07#98
Short Left
74.1%
20 / 27 completions
Yards 103
YPC 5.2
Success 48.1%#66
PPA 0.21#91
Short Middle
36.4%
8 / 22 completions
Yards 118
YPC 14.8
Success 31.8%#132
PPA -0.39#137
Short Right
82.7%
43 / 52 completions
Yards 333
YPC 7.7
Success 50.0%#46
PPA 0.46#27
No recorded location 12 / 22 completions
Yards 185
YPA 8.4
Comp % 54.5%
Success 31.8%
PPA -0.01

127 of 149 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Alabama L 10–48
-9.3
Wk 2
vs App State L 24–27
-7.1
Wk 3
@ Old Dominion W 20–17
+6.9
Wk 4
vs North Carolina Central W 42–9
-5.3
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Rice W 28–12
-0.4
Wk 7 Oct 15
@ UAB Proj: -2.6 53% —
Wk 8 Oct 22
@ Memphis Proj: +9.3 26% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Temple Proj: -7.5 74% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs South Florida Proj: +2.6 47% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Charlotte Proj: -20.4 88% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Army Proj: -3.6 53% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
vs Florida Atlantic Proj: -8.4 74% —