CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#60

North Carolina

ACC · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating +4.9
Strength of Schedule #20
Strength of Record #32
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 138
Comp % 59.4%#104
Yards 1,090
YPA 7.9
ADOT 8.0
INT 5
Success 47.8%#51
PPA 0.23#78
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 25
YPC 25.0
Success 25.0%#90
PPA -0.49#117
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 60
YPC 30.0
Success 50.0%#48
PPA 0.27#101
Deep Right
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 124
YPC 62.0
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 1.89#7
Short Left
68.4%
26 / 38 completions
Yards 240
YPC 9.2
Success 55.3%#32
PPA 0.42#40
Short Middle
51.3%
20 / 39 completions
Yards 277
YPC 13.8
Success 43.6%#102
PPA 0.17#116
Short Right
70.5%
31 / 44 completions
Yards 364
YPC 11.7
Success 52.3%#33
PPA 0.55#12
No recorded location 0 / 5 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -4.18

133 of 138 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
@ TCU W 15–10
+9.6
Wk 1
Bye — —
Wk 2
vs East Tennessee State W 35–3
-9.0
Wk 3
@ Clemson L 20–28
-7.3
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
vs Notre Dame L 26–37
+11.3
Wk 6
@ Pittsburgh W 21–17
+16.2
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Duke Proj: +4.3 38% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Syracuse Proj: -7.2 67% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Miami Proj: +20.6 12% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ UConn Proj: -0.7 53% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Louisville Proj: +3.7 47% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Virginia Proj: +6.9 33% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs NC State Proj: -3.6 62% —