CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#131

Northern Illinois

Mountain West · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating -14.0
Strength of Schedule #82
Strength of Record #131
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 159
Comp % 66.7%#42
Yards 1,024
YPA 6.4
ADOT 8.0
INT 4
Success 42.1%#99
PPA 0.13#112
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
10.0%
1 / 10 completions
Yards 36
YPC 36.0
Success 10.0%#122
PPA -0.64#121
Deep Middle
20.0%
1 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 25
YPC 25.0
Success 20.0%#111
PPA -0.51#116
Deep Right
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 20
YPC 20.0
Success 33.3%#75
PPA 0.51#68
Short Left
78.6%
44 / 56 completions
Yards 372
YPC 8.4
Success 50.0%#56
PPA 0.47#30
Short Middle
53.6%
15 / 28 completions
Yards 193
YPC 12.9
Success 35.7%#128
PPA -0.09#133
Short Right
84.0%
42 / 50 completions
Yards 324
YPC 7.7
Success 48.0%#56
PPA 0.40#37
No recorded location 2 / 7 completions
Yards 54
YPA 7.7
Comp % 28.6%
Success 28.6%
PPA -2.21

152 of 159 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Iowa L 0–40
-3.2
Wk 2
vs Illinois State L 24–28
-20.0
Wk 3
@ Arizona L 17–42
+2.2
Wk 4
@ Georgia State L 14–35
-5.3
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Air Force L 7–28
-11.3
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Wyoming Proj: +7.5 26% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Hawai'i Proj: +0.2 50% —
Wk 9 Nov 1
@ UNLV Proj: +18.4 7% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ San José State Proj: +11.8 18% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Nevada Proj: +7.9 29% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ North Dakota State Proj: +24.1 6% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs UTEP Proj: -7.7 74% —