CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#56

South Florida

American Athletic · Conf Rank #3 ·
Net Rating +6.0
Strength of Schedule #118
Strength of Record #73
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 156
Comp % 60.9%#91
Yards 1,120
YPA 7.2
ADOT 8.5
INT 0
Success 50.0%#32
PPA 0.25#74
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
22.2%
2 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 46
YPC 23.0
Success 22.2%#99
PPA 0.03#94
Deep Middle
11.1%
1 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 22
YPC 22.0
Success 11.1%#121
PPA -0.68#119
Deep Right
0.0%
0 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#130
PPA -0.97#135
Short Left
70.5%
31 / 44 completions
Yards 359
YPC 11.6
Success 61.4%#9
PPA 0.37#52
Short Middle
64.3%
18 / 28 completions
Yards 206
YPC 11.4
Success 50.0%#70
PPA 0.39#79
Short Right
67.2%
41 / 61 completions
Yards 407
YPC 9.9
Success 52.5%#32
PPA 0.20#90
No recorded location 2 / 2 completions
Yards 80
YPA 40.0
Comp % 100.0%
Success 100.0%
PPA 4.36

154 of 156 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Florida International W 19–9
-5.4
Wk 2
@ Army W 28–24
-2.4
Wk 3
vs Delaware State W 59–17
-3.8
Wk 4
@ Bowling Green W 14–6
-15.6
Wk 5
vs Temple L 13–17
-17.8
Wk 6
@ UTSA L 24–31
-5.8
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Kent State Proj: -29.8 100% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs UAB Proj: -14.8 84% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ East Carolina Proj: -2.6 53% —
Wk 11 Nov 13
vs Memphis Proj: -2.9 62% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Florida Atlantic Proj: -7.8 71% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
vs Tulane Proj: -10.3 74% —