CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#122

Sam Houston

Conference USA · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating -10.5
Strength of Schedule #106
Strength of Record #117
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 181
Comp % 65.7%#49
Yards 1,370
YPA 7.6
ADOT 6.9
INT 4
Success 43.3%#91
PPA 0.20#91
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 65
YPC 65.0
Success 33.3%#67
PPA 1.74#8
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 89
YPC 44.5
Success 50.0%#48
PPA 1.26#52
Deep Right
58.3%
7 / 12 completions
Yards 284
YPC 40.6
Success 58.3%#16
PPA 1.58#11
Short Left
69.4%
34 / 49 completions
Yards 292
YPC 8.6
Success 46.9%#70
PPA 0.32#63
Short Middle
87.5%
42 / 48 completions
Yards 449
YPC 10.7
Success 56.3%#46
PPA 0.74#29
Short Right
56.1%
32 / 57 completions
Yards 186
YPC 5.8
Success 29.8%#134
PPA -0.35#137
No recorded location 1 / 7 completions
Yards 5
YPA 0.7
Comp % 14.3%
Success 14.3%
PPA -3.59

173 of 181 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Troy L 21–24
+9.3
Wk 2
vs Tulsa L 17–23
-3.1
Wk 3
vs Nicholls W 59–0
+29.5
Wk 4
@ Texas Tech L 14–49
-5.3
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Liberty L 3–35
-8.3
Wk 7 Oct 15
vs Western Kentucky Proj: -4.2 62% —
Wk 8 Oct 22
vs New Mexico State Proj: -3.5 62% —
Wk 9 Oct 28
@ Missouri State Proj: +1.2 50% —
Wk 10 Nov 8
@ Jacksonville State Proj: +14.6 16% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Kennesaw State Proj: +0.5 50% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Middle Tennessee Proj: -4.6 62% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Florida International Proj: +12.7 16% —