CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#45

Oregon State

Pac-12 · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +9.6
Strength of Schedule #84
Strength of Record #53
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 253
Comp % 71.5%#10
Yards 2,394
YPA 9.5
ADOT 9.0
INT 2
Success 54.9%#14
PPA 0.57#8
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 143
YPC 35.8
Success 40.0%#47
PPA 0.60#53
Deep Middle
35.7%
5 / 14 completions
Yards 171
YPC 34.2
Success 35.7%#88
PPA 0.60#83
Deep Right
36.0%
9 / 25 completions
Yards 368
YPC 40.9
Success 36.0%#72
PPA 0.60#57
Short Left
83.1%
59 / 71 completions
Yards 482
YPC 8.2
Success 59.2%#17
PPA 0.45#33
Short Middle
76.6%
36 / 47 completions
Yards 467
YPC 13.0
Success 57.4%#41
PPA 0.83#19
Short Right
79.7%
63 / 79 completions
Yards 656
YPC 10.4
Success 59.5%#10
PPA 0.49#22
No recorded location 5 / 7 completions
Yards 107
YPA 15.3
Comp % 71.4%
Success 71.4%
PPA 0.54

246 of 253 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Houston L 20–33
+1.4
Wk 2
vs Texas Tech L 24–35
+6.1
Wk 3
vs Montana W 52–17
+4.5
Wk 4
@ UTEP W 33–7
+12.5
Wk 5
@ Colorado State W 56–26
+22.2
Wk 6
vs San Diego State W 66–14
+28.9
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Washington State Proj: -17.4 88% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Fresno State Proj: -5.4 71% —
Wk 10 Nov 8
vs Texas State Proj: -9.3 74% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Boise State Proj: +4.0 38% —
Wk 12 Nov 22
vs Utah State Proj: -18.6 93% —