CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#73

Minnesota

Big Ten · Conf Rank #15 ·
Net Rating +1.9
Strength of Schedule #27
Strength of Record #55
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 205
Comp % 65.4%#54
Yards 1,419
YPA 6.9
ADOT 6.8
INT 5
Success 45.4%#72
PPA 0.17#99
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
100.0%
2 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 62
YPC 31.0
Success 100.0%
PPA 3.05
Deep Middle
60.0%
3 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 83
YPC 27.7
Success 60.0%#36
PPA 1.34#50
Deep Right
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 141
YPC 35.3
Success 44.4%#45
PPA 1.01#38
Short Left
66.2%
43 / 65 completions
Yards 330
YPC 7.7
Success 36.9%#122
PPA 0.05#120
Short Middle
58.8%
20 / 34 completions
Yards 253
YPC 12.7
Success 55.9%#52
PPA 0.50#61
Short Right
72.6%
61 / 84 completions
Yards 541
YPC 8.9
Success 47.6%#58
PPA 0.21#83
No recorded location 1 / 6 completions
Yards 9
YPA 1.5
Comp % 16.7%
Success 16.7%
PPA -4.15

199 of 205 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Eastern Illinois W 59–7
+2.6
Wk 2
vs Mississippi State L 13–38
-17.5
Wk 3
vs Akron W 41–7
+11.3
Wk 4
@ Washington W 27–24
+13.3
Wk 5
vs Michigan W 20–14
+13.3
Wk 6
@ Purdue L 13–41
-25.8
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Iowa Proj: +15.8 17% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Indiana Proj: +27.8 0% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs UCLA Proj: +9.6 29% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Penn State Proj: +16.2 12% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Northwestern Proj: +7.5 29% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Wisconsin Proj: +14.2 16% —