CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#40

Boise State

Pac-12 · Conf Rank #1 ·
Net Rating +10.4
Strength of Schedule #75
Strength of Record #25
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 166
Comp % 66.3%#45
Yards 1,296
YPA 7.8
ADOT 7.4
INT 0
Success 48.2%#46
PPA 0.51#18
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#123
PPA -0.90#132
Deep Middle
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 31
YPC 31.0
Success 33.3%#89
PPA 0.32#96
Deep Right
66.7%
4 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 149
YPC 37.3
Success 66.7%#8
PPA 1.20#26
Short Left
70.7%
29 / 41 completions
Yards 291
YPC 10.0
Success 58.5%#21
PPA 0.63#11
Short Middle
75.0%
24 / 32 completions
Yards 304
YPC 12.7
Success 56.3%#46
PPA 0.73#31
Short Right
64.9%
50 / 77 completions
Yards 471
YPC 9.4
Success 40.3%#100
PPA 0.29#56
No recorded location 2 / 2 completions
Yards 50
YPA 25.0
Comp % 100.0%
Success 100.0%
PPA 4.00

164 of 166 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Oregon L 27–34
+17.7
Wk 2
vs Memphis W 38–20
+14.4
Wk 3
vs South Dakota W 38–24
-21.5
Wk 4
@ Western Michigan W 32–7
+18.0
Wk 5
vs Utah State W 37–18
+1.4
Wk 6
@ Fresno State W 38–31
+1.2
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Washington State Proj: -11.9 76% —
Wk 9 Nov 1
vs Texas State Proj: -10.1 74% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Colorado State Proj: -13.6 76% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Oregon State Proj: -4.0 62% —
Wk 12 Nov 22
vs San Diego State Proj: -24.2 94% —