CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#108

San José State

Mountain West · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating -5.9
Strength of Schedule #104
Strength of Record #94
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 211
Comp % 62.6%#77
Yards 1,529
YPA 7.3
ADOT 9.7
INT 6
Success 46.7%#60
PPA 0.30#61
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
50.0%
4 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 142
YPC 35.5
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 1.08#31
Deep Middle
85.7%
6 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 206
YPC 34.3
Success 85.7%#4
PPA 1.93#27
Deep Right
30.8%
4 / 13 completions
Yards 151
YPC 37.8
Success 30.8%#90
PPA 0.33#80
Short Left
61.0%
36 / 59 completions
Yards 285
YPC 7.9
Success 39.0%#116
PPA 0.07#116
Short Middle
58.1%
18 / 31 completions
Yards 268
YPC 14.9
Success 51.6%#67
PPA 0.37#81
Short Right
74.4%
64 / 86 completions
Yards 477
YPC 7.5
Success 52.3%#33
PPA 0.41#32
No recorded location 0 / 6 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -3.98

204 of 211 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
@ USC L 26–42
+12.2
Wk 1
@ Eastern Michigan W 27–21
+11.1
Wk 2
vs Cal Poly W 30–20
-20.9
Wk 3
vs Fresno State L 10–26
-14.8
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
@ Hawai'i W 20–16
+2.1
Wk 6
vs Wyoming L 13–16
-9.8
Wk 7 Oct 18
@ UTEP Proj: -10.0 73% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Nevada Proj: +5.6 38% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs New Mexico Proj: +13.0 24% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Northern Illinois Proj: -11.8 82% —
Wk 11 Nov 15
@ Air Force Proj: +4.3 38% —
Wk 12 Nov 22
vs UNLV Proj: +3.4 47% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
vs North Dakota State Proj: +9.1 29% —