CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#36

Louisville

ACC · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating +12.1
Strength of Schedule #52
Strength of Record #82
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 161
Comp % 69.6%#19
Yards 1,577
YPA 9.8
ADOT 8.5
INT 1
Success 53.8%#18
PPA 0.56#10
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 88
YPC 44.0
Success 40.0%#47
PPA 1.23#24
Deep Middle
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 56
YPC 28.0
Success 40.0%#75
PPA 0.20#104
Deep Right
58.3%
7 / 12 completions
Yards 265
YPC 37.9
Success 58.3%#16
PPA 1.47#16
Short Left
66.7%
34 / 51 completions
Yards 277
YPC 8.2
Success 47.1%#68
PPA 0.30#69
Short Middle
72.7%
24 / 33 completions
Yards 330
YPC 13.8
Success 63.6%#10
PPA 0.70#36
Short Right
80.4%
41 / 51 completions
Yards 445
YPC 10.8
Success 54.9%#22
PPA 0.40#36
No recorded location 2 / 3 completions
Yards 116
YPA 38.7
Comp % 66.7%
Success 66.7%
PPA 1.84

157 of 161 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Ole Miss L 38–41
+6.9
Wk 2
vs Villanova W 59–13
-0.7
Wk 3
vs SMU W 41–31
+11.3
Wk 4
vs Wake Forest L 27–30
-10.8
Wk 5
@ NC State L 28–31
-4.7
Wk 6
vs Florida State W 44–20
+17.8
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Syracuse Proj: -7.7 71% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Stanford Proj: -27.9 100% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Georgia Tech Proj: -7.1 71% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ North Carolina Proj: -3.7 53% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Pittsburgh Proj: -2.3 54% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Kentucky Proj: +2.6 38% —