CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#99

Tulsa

American Athletic · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating -3.2
Strength of Schedule #105
Strength of Record #110
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 195
Comp % 59.0%#105
Yards 1,182
YPA 6.1
ADOT 8.8
INT 1
Success 38.5%#121
PPA 0.12#115
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
21.4%
3 / 14 completions
Yards 106
YPC 35.3
Success 21.4%#102
PPA 0.15#87
Deep Middle
66.7%
4 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 124
YPC 31.0
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 0.86#75
Deep Right
50.0%
4 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 156
YPC 39.0
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 0.95#42
Short Left
65.0%
39 / 60 completions
Yards 328
YPC 8.4
Success 41.7%#105
PPA -0.02#128
Short Middle
53.8%
21 / 39 completions
Yards 195
YPC 9.3
Success 41.0%#111
PPA 0.20#111
Short Right
70.5%
43 / 61 completions
Yards 268
YPC 6.2
Success 36.1%#122
PPA 0.08#115
No recorded location 1 / 7 completions
Yards 5
YPA 0.7
Comp % 14.3%
Success 14.3%
PPA -0.48

188 of 195 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Oklahoma State W 24–10
+7.7
Wk 2
@ Sam Houston W 23–17
+3.1
Wk 3
vs East Texas A&M W 42–0
+8.8
Wk 4
@ Arkansas L 6–34
-18.7
Wk 5
vs North Texas L 44–45
+5.0
Wk 6
@ Navy L 26–34
-4.8
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Rice Proj: -5.3 71% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Army Proj: -5.4 62% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Tulane Proj: +6.5 33% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Florida Atlantic Proj: -3.8 62% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Charlotte Proj: -22.1 94% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ UTSA Proj: +10.9 26% —