CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#3

Alabama

SEC · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +29.0
Strength of Schedule #7
Strength of Record #5
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 168
Comp % 67.9%#27
Yards 1,622
YPA 9.7
ADOT 10.0
INT 2
Success 50.9%#29
PPA 0.57#7
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
54.5%
6 / 11 completions
Yards 237
YPC 39.5
Success 54.5%#22
PPA 1.24#22
Deep Middle
60.0%
3 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 103
YPC 34.3
Success 60.0%#36
PPA 2.02#20
Deep Right
77.8%
7 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 207
YPC 29.6
Success 77.8%#4
PPA 1.75#10
Short Left
73.3%
33 / 45 completions
Yards 313
YPC 9.5
Success 51.1%#52
PPA 0.43#37
Short Middle
57.1%
8 / 14 completions
Yards 81
YPC 10.1
Success 57.1%#42
PPA 0.46#69
Short Right
77.1%
37 / 48 completions
Yards 396
YPC 10.7
Success 52.1%#35
PPA 0.56#8
No recorded location 20 / 35 completions
Yards 285
YPA 8.1
Comp % 57.1%
Success 37.1%
PPA 0.08

132 of 168 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs East Carolina W 48–10
+9.3
Wk 2
@ Kentucky W 45–17
+12.6
Wk 3
vs Florida State W 50–36
-8.1
Wk 4
vs South Carolina W 49–18
+14.8
Wk 5
@ Mississippi State W 56–23
+22.1
Wk 6
vs Georgia L 17–20
-3.9
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Tennessee Proj: -10.4 73% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Texas A&M Proj: -19.2 94% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ LSU Proj: -0.3 50% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Vanderbilt Proj: -21.5 88% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Chattanooga Proj: -73.3 100% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Auburn Proj: -21.7 94% —