CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#12

USC

Big Ten · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating +18.4
Strength of Schedule #11
Strength of Record #22
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 239
Comp % 68.6%#23
Yards 2,171
YPA 9.1
ADOT 8.7
INT 4
Success 58.4%#4
PPA 0.56#9
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 94
YPC 31.3
Success 42.9%#42
PPA 1.07#32
Deep Middle
57.1%
4 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 163
YPC 40.8
Success 57.1%#41
PPA 2.08#18
Deep Right
50.0%
7 / 14 completions
Yards 204
YPC 29.1
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 0.91#43
Short Left
62.7%
42 / 67 completions
Yards 422
YPC 10.1
Success 49.3%#63
PPA 0.23#85
Short Middle
72.5%
37 / 51 completions
Yards 526
YPC 14.2
Success 66.7%#4
PPA 0.82#22
Short Right
79.8%
67 / 84 completions
Yards 713
YPC 10.6
Success 64.3%#3
PPA 0.52#18
No recorded location 4 / 8 completions
Yards 49
YPA 6.1
Comp % 50.0%
Success 50.0%
PPA -0.24

230 of 239 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs San José State W 42–26
-12.2
Wk 1
vs Fresno State W 39–0
+9.3
Wk 2
vs Louisiana W 49–30
-8.6
Wk 3
@ Rutgers W 42–35
-12.2
Wk 4
vs Oregon L 27–41
-14.9
Wk 5
vs Washington W 25–21
-6.7
Wk 6
@ Penn State W 31–23
+7.0
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Wisconsin Proj: -4.7 71% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Ohio State Proj: +7.5 29% —
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Indiana Proj: +8.9 26% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Maryland Proj: -23.8 94% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ UCLA Proj: -2.9 53% —