CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#129

Missouri State

Conference USA · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating -12.4
Strength of Schedule #98
Strength of Record #120
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 142
Comp % 63.4%#69
Yards 1,030
YPA 7.3
ADOT 9.0
INT 3
Success 35.2%#132
PPA 0.17#101
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
4 / 12 completions
Yards 158
YPC 39.5
Success 33.3%#67
PPA 0.03#95
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 87
YPC 43.5
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 2.13#16
Deep Right
50.0%
6 / 12 completions
Yards 231
YPC 38.5
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 1.34#19
Short Left
61.3%
19 / 31 completions
Yards 120
YPC 6.3
Success 29.0%#134
PPA -0.06#129
Short Middle
86.7%
13 / 15 completions
Yards 131
YPC 10.1
Success 46.7%#88
PPA 0.41#77
Short Right
69.2%
45 / 65 completions
Yards 300
YPC 6.7
Success 33.8%#127
PPA 0.09#113
No recorded location 1 / 4 completions
Yards 3
YPA 0.8
Comp % 25.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -2.18

138 of 142 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Texas A&M L 0–50
-10.7
Wk 2
vs Lindenwood W 48–14
+2.4
Wk 3
vs Marshall L 24–30
-7.5
Wk 4
@ SMU L 24–34
+18.8
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Western Kentucky L 13–34
-18.2
Wk 7 Oct 14
vs Kennesaw State Proj: +2.4 47% —
Wk 8 Oct 20
@ Delaware Proj: +10.3 26% —
Wk 9 Oct 28
vs Sam Houston Proj: -1.2 50% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Florida International Proj: +14.6 16% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs New Mexico State Proj: -1.6 50% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Jacksonville State Proj: +16.6 12% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Liberty Proj: +21.0 12% —