CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#118

Buffalo

Mid-American · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating -8.6
Strength of Schedule #136
Strength of Record #98
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 191
Comp % 51.8%#133
Yards 978
YPA 5.1
ADOT 9.5
INT 3
Success 35.6%#131
PPA 0.07#121
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
36.4%
4 / 11 completions
Yards 80
YPC 20.0
Success 36.4%#63
PPA 0.24#79
Deep Middle
14.3%
1 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 59
YPC 59.0
Success 14.3%#119
PPA 0.05#108
Deep Right
80.0%
8 / 10 completions
Yards 236
YPC 29.5
Success 80.0%#3
PPA 1.78#8
Short Left
47.3%
26 / 55 completions
Yards 126
YPC 4.8
Success 25.5%#136
PPA -0.16#136
Short Middle
54.5%
12 / 22 completions
Yards 98
YPC 8.2
Success 27.3%#134
PPA -0.05#132
Short Right
57.3%
47 / 82 completions
Yards 353
YPC 7.5
Success 41.5%#93
PPA 0.21#87
No recorded location 1 / 4 completions
Yards 26
YPA 6.5
Comp % 25.0%
Success 25.0%
PPA -4.55

187 of 191 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs UAlbany W 21–17
-32.2
Wk 2
@ Florida International L 20–33
-6.0
Wk 3
@ Penn State L 13–55
-8.3
Wk 4
vs Robert Morris W 31–28
-20.0
Wk 5
vs Western Michigan L 17–20
+1.6
Wk 6
@ Toledo W 23–8
+31.8
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Massachusetts Proj: -1.7 50% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Bowling Green Proj: -7.8 74% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 4
@ Miami (OH) Proj: +9.8 26% —
Wk 11 Nov 11
@ Ball State Proj: -4.0 53% —
Wk 12 Nov 18
vs Central Michigan Proj: -6.5 67% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
@ Akron Proj: -7.6 71% —