CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#86

Troy

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating -0.7
Strength of Schedule #100
Strength of Record #58
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 156
Comp % 56.4%#119
Yards 1,053
YPA 6.8
ADOT 9.1
INT 4
Success 42.3%#97
PPA 0.18#97
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 10 completions
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#123
PPA -0.71#123
Deep Middle
100.0%
2 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 65
YPC 32.5
Success 100.0%
PPA 3.21
Deep Right
16.7%
2 / 12 completions
Yards 79
YPC 39.5
Success 16.7%#123
PPA -0.02#106
Short Left
76.5%
26 / 34 completions
Yards 321
YPC 12.3
Success 67.6%#4
PPA 0.68#6
Short Middle
47.8%
11 / 23 completions
Yards 224
YPC 20.4
Success 34.8%#131
PPA 0.63#49
Short Right
65.7%
46 / 70 completions
Yards 346
YPC 7.5
Success 42.9%#80
PPA 0.16#99
No recorded location 1 / 5 completions
Yards 18
YPA 3.6
Comp % 20.0%
Success 20.0%
PPA -4.01

151 of 156 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Sam Houston W 24–21
-9.3
Wk 2
vs Alabama State W 34–17
-16.3
Wk 3
@ Missouri L 17–27
+7.7
Wk 4
@ Utah State L 10–21
-11.6
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Southern Miss W 55–34
+10.2
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Louisiana Proj: +6.0 33% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs UL Monroe Proj: -24.5 94% —
Wk 9 Oct 29
@ James Madison Proj: +14.9 16% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Louisiana Tech Proj: -4.3 62% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ South Alabama Proj: -2.0 53% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Georgia Southern Proj: -1.0 50% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Arkansas State Proj: -2.1 53% —