CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#13

Texas Tech

Big 12 · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +18.0
Strength of Schedule #61
Strength of Record #8
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 147
Comp % 67.3%#34
Yards 1,137
YPA 7.7
ADOT 8.7
INT 6
Success 47.6%#52
PPA 0.33#52
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 27
YPC 27.0
Success 33.3%#67
PPA 0.79#43
Deep Middle
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 18
YPC 18.0
Success 33.3%#89
PPA 0.44#87
Deep Right
50.0%
7 / 14 completions
Yards 233
YPC 33.3
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 1.57#14
Short Left
83.9%
26 / 31 completions
Yards 237
YPC 9.1
Success 58.1%#22
PPA 0.45#34
Short Middle
63.2%
24 / 38 completions
Yards 267
YPC 11.1
Success 44.7%#94
PPA 0.32#93
Short Right
76.5%
39 / 51 completions
Yards 323
YPC 8.3
Success 49.0%#51
PPA 0.29#57
No recorded location 1 / 7 completions
Yards 32
YPA 4.6
Comp % 14.3%
Success 14.3%
PPA -3.09

140 of 147 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Abilene Christian W 33–10
-36.3
Wk 2
@ Oregon State W 35–24
-6.1
Wk 3
vs Houston W 28–26
-6.2
Wk 4
vs Sam Houston W 49–14
+5.3
Wk 5
@ Colorado W 29–7
+7.8
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Arizona State Proj: -18.0 93% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Cincinnati Proj: -13.5 76% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Arizona Proj: -9.2 74% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs West Virginia Proj: -21.5 94% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Oklahoma State Proj: -12.4 76% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Baylor Proj: -5.2 71% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
vs TCU Proj: -13.2 84% —