CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#54

North Dakota State

Mountain West · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +7.1
Strength of Schedule #132
Strength of Record #43
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 144
Comp % 63.2%#71
Yards 1,158
YPA 8.0
ADOT 10.8
INT 5
Success 47.2%#56
PPA 0.35#48
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
46.2%
6 / 13 completions
Yards 225
YPC 37.5
Success 46.2%#37
PPA 1.19#25
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#122
PPA -0.71#120
Deep Right
45.5%
5 / 11 completions
Yards 143
YPC 28.6
Success 45.5%#41
PPA 0.73#50
Short Left
68.4%
26 / 38 completions
Yards 217
YPC 8.3
Success 42.1%#102
PPA 0.25#82
Short Middle
64.7%
11 / 17 completions
Yards 145
YPC 13.2
Success 41.2%#109
PPA 0.65#47
Short Right
75.4%
43 / 57 completions
Yards 428
YPC 9.9
Success 59.6%#8
PPA 0.54#15
No recorded location 0 / 5 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -5.47

139 of 144 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs Jacksonville State W 33–7
+13.7
Wk 1
vs Fordham W 38–0
-11.6
Wk 2
@ Air Force W 38–32
-3.3
Wk 3
@ Sacramento State W 31–10
+6.8
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
vs Wyoming W 28–0
+7.2
Wk 6
@ UNLV L 7–13
-11.0
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Nevada Proj: -13.0 84% —
Wk 8 Oct 25
@ New Mexico Proj: +7.1 33% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs UTEP Proj: -28.6 100% —
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11 Nov 15
@ Hawai'i Proj: -14.4 76% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Northern Illinois Proj: -24.1 94% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
@ San José State Proj: -9.1 71% —