CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#132

Sacramento State

Mid-American · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating -15.4
Strength of Schedule #135
Strength of Record #136
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 220
Comp % 55.9%#123
Yards 1,240
YPA 5.6
ADOT 8.7
INT 6
Success 39.1%#117
PPA -0.01#132
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
36.4%
4 / 11 completions
Yards 98
YPC 24.5
Success 36.4%#63
PPA 0.37#66
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 77
YPC 38.5
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 1.81#35
Deep Right
12.5%
2 / 16 completions
Yards 70
YPC 35.0
Success 18.8%#119
PPA -0.48#125
Short Left
65.6%
40 / 61 completions
Yards 237
YPC 5.9
Success 39.3%#114
PPA 0.09#111
Short Middle
64.6%
31 / 48 completions
Yards 335
YPC 10.8
Success 47.9%#81
PPA 0.36#83
Short Right
58.1%
43 / 74 completions
Yards 360
YPC 8.4
Success 39.2%#105
PPA -0.00#122
No recorded location 1 / 7 completions
Yards 63
YPA 9.0
Comp % 14.3%
Success 14.3%
PPA -3.88

213 of 220 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
@ Eastern Michigan L 17–28
-7.4
Wk 1
vs Mississippi Valley State W 52–0
+8.9
Wk 2
@ Fresno State L 3–49
-34.8
Wk 3
vs North Dakota State L 10–31
-6.8
Wk 4
vs Massachusetts L 6–35
-22.5
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Bowling Green L 10–38
-23.7
Wk 7 Oct 18
vs Ohio Proj: +8.7 29% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Ball State Proj: +2.6 38% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Kent State Proj: -6.4 67% —
Wk 10 Nov 4
vs Toledo Proj: +17.1 17% —
Wk 11 Nov 11
@ Central Michigan Proj: +6.4 33% —
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13 Nov 29
@ Hawai'i Proj: +7.5 26% —