CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#114

Southern Miss

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #11 ·
Net Rating -8.4
Strength of Schedule #91
Strength of Record #125
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 180
Comp % 61.1%#90
Yards 1,357
YPA 7.5
ADOT 8.2
INT 7
Success 43.9%#85
PPA 0.07#124
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
40.0%
6 / 15 completions
Yards 200
YPC 33.3
Success 40.0%#47
PPA 0.02#96
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.86
Deep Right
50.0%
3 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 144
YPC 48.0
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 1.98#5
Short Left
66.0%
35 / 53 completions
Yards 347
YPC 9.9
Success 45.3%#81
PPA 0.32#61
Short Middle
63.3%
19 / 30 completions
Yards 231
YPC 12.2
Success 53.3%#60
PPA 0.27#101
Short Right
70.8%
46 / 65 completions
Yards 413
YPC 9.0
Success 44.6%#68
PPA 0.22#82
No recorded location 1 / 9 completions
Yards 22
YPA 2.4
Comp % 11.1%
Success 11.1%
PPA -4.11

171 of 180 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Alcorn State W 49–3
+7.3
Wk 2
@ Auburn L 8–43
-17.3
Wk 3
vs UConn L 20–48
-21.1
Wk 4
@ Tulane L 21–24
+6.0
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Troy L 34–55
-10.2
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Arkansas State Proj: -0.9 50% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Louisiana Proj: +7.2 29% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ UL Monroe Proj: -10.6 73% —
Wk 10 Nov 6
vs James Madison Proj: +16.1 17% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Louisiana Tech Proj: +9.6 26% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs South Alabama Proj: -0.8 50% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Old Dominion Proj: +2.1 50% —