CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#106

Utah State

Pac-12 · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating -4.5
Strength of Schedule #67
Strength of Record #112
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 183
Comp % 52.5%#132
Yards 1,138
YPA 6.2
ADOT 10.0
INT 10
Success 37.0%#127
PPA 0.01#127
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
30.0%
3 / 10 completions
Yards 89
YPC 29.7
Success 30.0%#79
PPA 0.53#56
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 100
YPC 50.0
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 3.04#2
Deep Right
20.0%
2 / 10 completions
Yards 48
YPC 24.0
Success 20.0%#113
PPA 0.02#102
Short Left
71.7%
38 / 53 completions
Yards 362
YPC 9.5
Success 49.1%#64
PPA 0.28#75
Short Middle
50.0%
8 / 16 completions
Yards 65
YPC 8.1
Success 25.0%#135
PPA -0.04#131
Short Right
53.8%
42 / 78 completions
Yards 459
YPC 10.9
Success 37.2%#114
PPA 0.11#108
No recorded location 1 / 11 completions
Yards 15
YPA 1.4
Comp % 9.1%
Success 9.1%
PPA -3.93

170 of 183 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Idaho State L 17–29
-45.9
Wk 2
@ Washington L 14–16
+17.2
Wk 3
@ Utah L 0–33
-5.3
Wk 4
vs Troy W 21–10
+11.6
Wk 5
@ Boise State L 18–37
-1.4
Wk 6
vs Washington State W 17–16
-2.3
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Texas State Proj: +12.5 16% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Colorado State Proj: -3.7 62% —
Wk 10 Nov 8
vs Fresno State Proj: +3.6 47% —
Wk 11 Nov 15
@ San Diego State Proj: -1.7 53% —
Wk 12 Nov 22
@ Oregon State Proj: +18.6 7% —