CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#64

Arizona State

Big 12 · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating +3.8
Strength of Schedule #41
Strength of Record #51
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 168
Comp % 62.5%#79
Yards 1,280
YPA 7.6
ADOT 7.2
INT 3
Success 45.8%#67
PPA 0.14#107
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
37.5%
3 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 106
YPC 35.3
Success 37.5%#56
PPA 0.17#85
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 55
YPC 27.5
Success 50.0%#48
PPA 1.17#56
Deep Right
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 93
YPC 46.5
Success 33.3%#75
PPA 0.55#64
Short Left
70.2%
40 / 57 completions
Yards 410
YPC 10.3
Success 45.6%#79
PPA 0.28#76
Short Middle
68.2%
15 / 22 completions
Yards 213
YPC 14.2
Success 54.5%#56
PPA 0.49#63
Short Right
63.2%
43 / 68 completions
Yards 403
YPC 9.4
Success 47.1%#62
PPA 0.20#92
No recorded location 0 / 3 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -8.36

165 of 168 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Morgan State W 70–7
+9.9
Wk 2
@ Texas A&M L 20–48
-10.3
Wk 3
@ Kansas W 24–17
+7.9
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
vs Baylor L 19–55
-33.5
Wk 6
vs Hawai'i W 30–12
-0.1
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Texas Tech Proj: +18.0 7% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Kansas State Proj: +1.9 47% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ BYU Proj: +15.6 12% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Colorado Proj: -6.2 67% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ UCF Proj: +4.6 38% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Oklahoma State Proj: -3.9 62% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Arizona Proj: +12.0 18% —