CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#39

Liberty

Conference USA · Conf Rank #1 ·
Net Rating +10.6
Strength of Schedule #134
Strength of Record #38
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 130
Comp % 58.5%#109
Yards 1,157
YPA 8.9
ADOT 11.6
INT 0
Success 45.4%#72
PPA 0.43#29
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
60.0%
6 / 10 completions
Yards 229
YPC 38.2
Success 60.0%#13
PPA 1.07#33
Deep Middle
57.1%
4 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 172
YPC 43.0
Success 57.1%#41
PPA 1.36#48
Deep Right
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 54
YPC 27.0
Success 33.3%#75
PPA 0.57#63
Short Left
79.3%
23 / 29 completions
Yards 230
YPC 10.0
Success 58.6%#20
PPA 0.59#17
Short Middle
53.1%
17 / 32 completions
Yards 259
YPC 15.2
Success 46.9%#85
PPA 0.67#42
Short Right
53.3%
24 / 45 completions
Yards 213
YPC 8.9
Success 33.3%#129
PPA -0.07#130
No recorded location 0 / 1 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -2.81

129 of 130 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ James Madison L 13–20
+1.0
Wk 2
vs Gardner-Webb W 24–23
-40.7
Wk 3
vs Ball State W 51–15
+10.2
Wk 4
@ Coastal Carolina W 34–17
+6.6
Wk 5
@ Delaware W 30–14
+5.6
Wk 6
vs Sam Houston W 35–3
+8.3
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 22
@ Kennesaw State Proj: -15.4 83% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Florida International Proj: -15.9 88% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ New Mexico State Proj: -19.4 88% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Middle Tennessee Proj: -26.8 100% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Western Kentucky Proj: -26.4 94% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Missouri State Proj: -21.0 88% —