CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#125

Central Michigan

Mid-American · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating -11.8
Strength of Schedule #120
Strength of Record #76
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 111
Comp % 60.4%#97
Yards 578
YPA 5.2
ADOT 7.8
INT 4
Success 30.6%#138
PPA 0.00#130
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#123
PPA -0.63#120
Deep Middle
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 24
YPC 24.0
Success 16.7%#114
PPA -0.07#110
Deep Right
0.0%
0 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#130
PPA -0.73#132
Short Left
73.3%
22 / 30 completions
Yards 113
YPC 5.1
Success 26.7%#135
PPA 0.04#124
Short Middle
63.2%
12 / 19 completions
Yards 170
YPC 14.2
Success 36.8%#123
PPA 0.68#39
Short Right
72.7%
32 / 44 completions
Yards 271
YPC 8.5
Success 40.9%#95
PPA 0.32#51
No recorded location 0 / 4 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -5.59

107 of 111 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ New Mexico L 7–38
-12.6
Wk 2
vs Colgate W 13–10
-18.7
Wk 3
vs Wyoming W 24–10
+10.3
Wk 4
@ Miami L 3–52
-7.6
Wk 5
vs Akron W 41–17
+13.1
Wk 6
@ Ohio L 14–31
-5.0
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Western Michigan Proj: +8.1 29% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Miami (OH) Proj: +6.8 29% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 4
@ Eastern Michigan Proj: +7.1 33% —
Wk 11 Nov 11
vs Sacramento State Proj: -6.4 67% —
Wk 12 Nov 18
@ Buffalo Proj: +6.5 33% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Ball State Proj: -0.6 53% —