CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#83

Jacksonville State

Conference USA · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +0.2
Strength of Schedule #129
Strength of Record #71
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 174
Comp % 67.2%#35
Yards 1,469
YPA 8.4
ADOT 8.2
INT 5
Success 51.1%#26
PPA 0.38#40
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 80
YPC 40.0
Success 28.6%#83
PPA 0.22#81
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 63
YPC 31.5
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 2.20#13
Deep Right
33.3%
3 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 100
YPC 33.3
Success 33.3%#75
PPA 0.80#47
Short Left
73.1%
38 / 52 completions
Yards 414
YPC 10.9
Success 51.9%#46
PPA 0.38#50
Short Middle
75.6%
31 / 41 completions
Yards 320
YPC 10.3
Success 58.5%#33
PPA 0.52#59
Short Right
69.8%
37 / 53 completions
Yards 338
YPC 9.1
Success 50.9%#42
PPA 0.32#52
No recorded location 4 / 9 completions
Yards 154
YPA 17.1
Comp % 44.4%
Success 44.4%
PPA -1.03

165 of 174 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
@ North Dakota State L 7–33
-13.7
Wk 1
vs Eastern Kentucky W 49–7
+0.8
Wk 2
@ Ohio L 27–29
-4.8
Wk 3
vs Georgia Southern W 31–27
+3.7
Wk 4
vs Middle Tennessee W 23–13
0.0
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Kennesaw State W 27–26
-2.2
Wk 7 Oct 14
vs Florida International Proj: -5.1 62% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 29
@ New Mexico State Proj: -8.6 71% —
Wk 10 Nov 8
vs Sam Houston Proj: -14.6 84% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Western Kentucky Proj: -9.2 71% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Missouri State Proj: -16.6 88% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Delaware Proj: -3.1 53% —