CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#97

Navy

American Athletic · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating -3.1
Strength of Schedule #78
Strength of Record #114
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 67
Comp % 43.3%#138
Yards 510
YPA 7.6
ADOT 13.3
INT 2
Success 35.8%#129
PPA 0.07#123
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 39
YPC 39.0
Success 33.3%#67
PPA 0.54#55
Deep Middle
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 95
YPC 47.5
Success 40.0%#75
PPA 0.39#94
Deep Right
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 39
YPC 39.0
Success 33.3%#75
PPA -0.01#105
Short Left
46.7%
7 / 15 completions
Yards 53
YPC 7.6
Success 33.3%#126
PPA -0.21#137
Short Middle
25.0%
2 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 16
YPC 8.0
Success 12.5%#138
PPA -0.46#138
Short Right
52.0%
13 / 25 completions
Yards 138
YPC 10.6
Success 40.0%#101
PPA 0.14#105
No recorded location 3 / 5 completions
Yards 130
YPA 26.0
Comp % 60.0%
Success 60.0%
PPA 0.95

62 of 67 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Towson W 42–15
-10.1
Wk 2
@ Florida Atlantic L 30–38
-9.3
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
@ UAB L 20–24
-2.5
Wk 5
@ Air Force L 9–14
-0.9
Wk 6
vs Tulsa W 34–26
+4.8
Wk 7 Oct 18
@ UTSA Proj: +16.7 12% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs North Texas Proj: +14.2 24% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Notre Dame Proj: +42.5 6% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Temple Proj: +2.9 47% —
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Memphis Proj: +13.4 24% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Charlotte Proj: -9.9 73% —
Wk 14
Bye — —
Wk 15 Dec 12
@ Army Proj: +6.8 33% —