CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#61

NC State

ACC · Conf Rank #11 ·
Net Rating +4.6
Strength of Schedule #68
Strength of Record #92
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 204
Comp % 67.2%#35
Yards 1,551
YPA 7.6
ADOT 8.7
INT 4
Success 50.5%#31
PPA 0.35#48
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
37.5%
3 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 77
YPC 25.7
Success 37.5%#56
PPA 0.73#47
Deep Middle
66.7%
4 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 135
YPC 33.8
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 1.79#36
Deep Right
27.3%
3 / 11 completions
Yards 93
YPC 31.0
Success 27.3%#98
PPA 0.12#93
Short Left
79.1%
34 / 43 completions
Yards 296
YPC 8.7
Success 55.8%#29
PPA 0.22#89
Short Middle
64.3%
27 / 42 completions
Yards 237
YPC 8.8
Success 50.0%#70
PPA 0.35#85
Short Right
73.0%
65 / 89 completions
Yards 693
YPC 10.7
Success 52.8%#29
PPA 0.48#23
No recorded location 1 / 5 completions
Yards 20
YPA 4.0
Comp % 20.0%
Success 20.0%
PPA -3.38

199 of 204 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
@ Virginia L 8–34
-15.5
Wk 1
Bye — —
Wk 2
vs Richmond W 73–0
+29.0
Wk 3
@ Vanderbilt L 31–35
+7.3
Wk 4
vs App State W 41–31
-1.8
Wk 5
vs Louisville W 31–28
+4.7
Wk 6
vs Wake Forest L 14–38
-18.9
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Stanford Proj: -14.3 76% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs California Proj: -11.0 74% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Duke Proj: -1.7 50% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Syracuse Proj: -6.8 67% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Florida State Proj: +8.3 26% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ North Carolina Proj: +3.6 38% —