CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#19

Michigan

Big Ten · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating +14.9
Strength of Schedule #18
Strength of Record #54
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 117
Comp % 59.0%#105
Yards 904
YPA 7.7
ADOT 10.8
INT 4
Success 48.7%#41
PPA 0.28#64
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 32
YPC 32.0
Success 16.7%#110
PPA -0.76#126
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 28
YPC 28.0
Success 25.0%#104
PPA 0.34#95
Deep Right
20.0%
2 / 10 completions
Yards 69
YPC 34.5
Success 20.0%#113
PPA -0.11#111
Short Left
82.8%
24 / 29 completions
Yards 286
YPC 11.9
Success 65.5%#6
PPA 0.70#4
Short Middle
66.7%
10 / 15 completions
Yards 108
YPC 10.8
Success 60.0%#24
PPA 0.71#34
Short Right
65.2%
30 / 46 completions
Yards 334
YPC 11.1
Success 50.0%#46
PPA 0.41#34
No recorded location 1 / 5 completions
Yards 47
YPA 9.4
Comp % 20.0%
Success 20.0%
PPA -2.54

110 of 117 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Western Michigan W 13–12
-17.1
Wk 2
vs Oklahoma W 17–10
+6.7
Wk 3
vs UTEP W 52–17
+2.6
Wk 4
vs Iowa L 19–20
+0.6
Wk 5
@ Minnesota L 14–20
-13.3
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Penn State Proj: -5.4 62% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Indiana Proj: +6.1 29% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Rutgers Proj: -16.0 83% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Michigan State Proj: -18.9 93% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Oregon Proj: +10.3 26% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs UCLA Proj: -5.6 62% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Ohio State Proj: +17.5 12% —