CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#23

SMU

ACC · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +14.1
Strength of Schedule #62
Strength of Record #31
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 172
Comp % 75.6%#2
Yards 1,732
YPA 10.1
ADOT 8.6
INT 5
Success 57.0%#7
PPA 0.52#16
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 64
YPC 32.0
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 0.50#59
Deep Middle
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 51
YPC 51.0
Success 33.3%#89
PPA 0.41#93
Deep Right
75.0%
6 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 203
YPC 33.8
Success 75.0%#5
PPA 2.08#3
Short Left
96.2%
25 / 26 completions
Yards 192
YPC 7.7
Success 57.7%#24
PPA 0.65#7
Short Middle
77.4%
24 / 31 completions
Yards 344
YPC 14.3
Success 58.1%#36
PPA 0.87#16
Short Right
74.6%
44 / 59 completions
Yards 404
YPC 9.2
Success 54.2%#26
PPA 0.29#58
No recorded location 28 / 41 completions
Yards 474
YPA 11.6
Comp % 68.3%
Success 58.5%
PPA 0.25

131 of 172 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Florida State W 27–24
-0.2
Wk 2
vs UC Davis W 56–10
-4.8
Wk 3
@ Louisville L 31–41
-11.3
Wk 4
vs Missouri State W 34–24
-18.8
Wk 5
vs Boston College W 25–16
-11.6
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Virginia Proj: -8.6 74% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs California Proj: -20.7 94% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Syracuse Proj: -10.1 73% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Virginia Tech Proj: -7.4 67% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Wake Forest Proj: -5.7 67% —
Wk 12 Nov 22
@ Notre Dame Proj: +23.7 6% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Stanford Proj: -23.9 94% —