CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#124

Rice

American Athletic · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating -11.2
Strength of Schedule #70
Strength of Record #130
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 85
Comp % 48.2%#136
Yards 489
YPA 5.8
ADOT 10.1
INT 2
Success 31.8%#137
PPA -0.06#135
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
20.0%
1 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 40
YPC 40.0
Success 20.0%#103
PPA 0.36#68
Deep Middle
14.3%
1 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 25
YPC 25.0
Success 14.3%#119
PPA -0.32#115
Deep Right
50.0%
1 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 30
YPC 30.0
Success 50.0%
PPA 0.73
Short Left
46.9%
15 / 32 completions
Yards 160
YPC 10.7
Success 25.0%#137
PPA -0.14#135
Short Middle
80.0%
12 / 15 completions
Yards 141
YPC 11.8
Success 60.0%#24
PPA 0.69#38
Short Right
50.0%
11 / 22 completions
Yards 93
YPC 8.4
Success 31.8%#130
PPA -0.14#134
No recorded location 0 / 2 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -4.37

83 of 85 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Houston Christian W 31–3
-6.6
Wk 2
@ Notre Dame L 0–52
-8.5
Wk 3
vs Western Michigan L 21–28
0.0
Wk 4
@ Fresno State L 24–38
-1.1
Wk 5
vs UTSA L 14–16
+8.8
Wk 6
@ East Carolina L 12–28
+0.4
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Tulsa Proj: +5.3 29% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Florida Atlantic Proj: +11.0 26% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ North Texas Proj: +23.1 6% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Tulane Proj: +8.6 29% —
Wk 12 Nov 20
@ Temple Proj: +11.9 18% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Army Proj: +3.1 47% —