CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#119

New Mexico State

Conference USA · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating -9.5
Strength of Schedule #119
Strength of Record #128
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 197
Comp % 55.3%#125
Yards 1,371
YPA 7.0
ADOT 10.2
INT 8
Success 41.1%#106
PPA 0.10#117
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.51
Deep Middle
36.4%
4 / 11 completions
Yards 144
YPC 36.0
Success 36.4%#87
PPA 0.29#98
Deep Right
23.5%
4 / 17 completions
Yards 190
YPC 47.5
Success 23.5%#109
PPA 0.25#85
Short Left
64.6%
31 / 48 completions
Yards 218
YPC 7.0
Success 35.4%#124
PPA 0.10#110
Short Middle
65.1%
28 / 43 completions
Yards 388
YPC 13.9
Success 58.1%#36
PPA 0.48#64
Short Right
60.3%
35 / 58 completions
Yards 295
YPC 8.4
Success 43.1%#78
PPA 0.22#80
No recorded location 7 / 18 completions
Yards 136
YPA 7.6
Comp % 38.9%
Success 33.3%
PPA -1.46

179 of 197 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
@ Florida State L 17–34
+5.4
Wk 1
vs Mercyhurst W 51–14
+2.7
Wk 2
@ Hawai'i L 19–29
-2.9
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs New Mexico L 18–42
-8.8
Wk 5
vs Western Kentucky W 34–13
+13.5
Wk 6
@ Florida International L 3–22
-7.5
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 22
@ Sam Houston Proj: +3.5 38% —
Wk 9 Oct 29
vs Jacksonville State Proj: +8.6 29% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Liberty Proj: +19.4 12% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Missouri State Proj: +1.6 50% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Delaware Proj: +2.3 47% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Middle Tennessee Proj: +2.1 50% —