CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#85

Air Force

Mountain West · Conf Rank #3 ·
Net Rating -0.5
Strength of Schedule #121
Strength of Record #44
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 48
Comp % 47.9%#137
Yards 372
YPA 7.8
ADOT 13.8
INT 4
Success 40.4%#110
PPA -0.00#131
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
100.0%
1 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 35
YPC 35.0
Success 100.0%
PPA 2.93
Deep Middle
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 80
YPC 26.7
Success 42.9%#71
PPA 0.30#97
Deep Right
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 50
YPC 25.0
Success 66.7%#8
PPA 1.77#9
Short Left
80.0%
8 / 10 completions
Yards 94
YPC 11.8
Success 70.0%
PPA 1.19
Short Middle
50.0%
5 / 10 completions
Yards 86
YPC 17.2
Success 40.0%#113
PPA -0.03#130
Short Right
33.3%
4 / 12 completions
Yards 27
YPC 6.8
Success 16.7%
PPA -0.51
No recorded location 0 / 4 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -4.00

43 of 48 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Duquesne W 34–0
+2.2
Wk 2
vs North Dakota State L 32–38
+3.3
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
@ Nevada W 36–33
+6.7
Wk 5
vs Navy W 14–9
+0.9
Wk 6
@ Northern Illinois W 28–7
+11.3
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs UNLV Proj: +2.3 47% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Wyoming Proj: -2.3 53% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs UConn Proj: +5.3 29% —
Wk 10 Nov 8
@ Army Proj: +3.2 38% —
Wk 11 Nov 15
vs San José State Proj: -4.3 62% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs UTEP Proj: -17.5 88% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ New Mexico Proj: +18.1 7% —