CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#44

Virginia

ACC · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating +9.6
Strength of Schedule #65
Strength of Record #68
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 164
Comp % 64.6%#62
Yards 1,305
YPA 8.0
ADOT 8.4
INT 1
Success 50.6%#30
PPA 0.47#23
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 20
YPC 20.0
Success 25.0%#90
PPA -0.07#101
Deep Middle
57.1%
4 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 109
YPC 27.3
Success 57.1%#41
PPA 0.91#72
Deep Right
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 190
YPC 47.5
Success 40.0%#57
PPA 1.02#33
Short Left
76.9%
40 / 52 completions
Yards 468
YPC 11.7
Success 65.4%#7
PPA 0.71#3
Short Middle
63.3%
19 / 30 completions
Yards 151
YPC 8.0
Success 40.0%#113
PPA 0.11#123
Short Right
63.0%
34 / 54 completions
Yards 287
YPC 8.4
Success 42.6%#83
PPA 0.28#61
No recorded location 4 / 5 completions
Yards 80
YPA 16.0
Comp % 80.0%
Success 80.0%
PPA 0.92

157 of 164 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs NC State W 34–8
+15.5
Wk 1
Bye — —
Wk 2
vs Norfolk State W 59–3
+4.4
Wk 3
vs West Virginia L 27–38
-20.9
Wk 4
vs Delaware W 42–3
+18.5
Wk 5
@ Florida State L 7–38
-29.0
Wk 6
vs Syracuse W 28–25
-8.6
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ SMU Proj: +8.6 26% —
Wk 8 Oct 23
vs Duke Proj: -5.9 67% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Wake Forest Proj: +6.1 33% —
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs California Proj: -15.2 85% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs North Carolina Proj: -6.9 67% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ Virginia Tech Proj: +4.4 38% —