CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#21

Houston

Big 12 · Conf Rank #4 ·
Net Rating +14.2
Strength of Schedule #51
Strength of Record #23
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 173
Comp % 67.1%#39
Yards 1,510
YPA 8.7
ADOT 8.3
INT 1
Success 57.8%#6
PPA 0.55#11
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
60.0%
3 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 106
YPC 35.3
Success 60.0%#13
PPA 1.45#16
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.90
Deep Right
50.0%
4 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 148
YPC 37.0
Success 50.0%#24
PPA 1.41#18
Short Left
66.0%
33 / 50 completions
Yards 308
YPC 9.3
Success 50.0%#56
PPA 0.32#63
Short Middle
71.4%
30 / 42 completions
Yards 380
YPC 12.7
Success 61.9%#20
PPA 0.44#72
Short Right
71.0%
44 / 62 completions
Yards 555
YPC 12.6
Success 64.5%#1
PPA 0.73#1
No recorded location 2 / 4 completions
Yards 13
YPA 3.3
Comp % 50.0%
Success 50.0%
PPA -0.17

169 of 173 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Oregon State W 33–20
-1.4
Wk 2
vs Southern W 77–6
+19.8
Wk 3
@ Texas Tech L 26–28
+6.2
Wk 4
@ Georgia Southern W 42–28
+6.1
Wk 5
vs UCF W 27–17
+2.3
Wk 6
@ Kansas State W 35–16
+17.5
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Oklahoma State Proj: -13.8 84% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Utah Proj: +10.4 26% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Cincinnati Proj: -15.0 84% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Colorado Proj: -9.8 73% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ West Virginia Proj: -10.3 73% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Baylor Proj: -6.6 67% —