CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#27

Northwestern

Big Ten · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating +13.1
Strength of Schedule #28
Strength of Record #19
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 113
Comp % 69.9%#13
Yards 1,164
YPA 10.3
ADOT 9.4
INT 0
Success 58.9%#3
PPA 0.65#4
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
80.0%
4 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 111
YPC 27.8
Success 80.0%#2
PPA 2.32#2
Deep Middle
100.0%
3 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 143
YPC 47.7
Success 100.0%#1
PPA 2.81#3
Deep Right
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 55
YPC 27.5
Success 33.3%#75
PPA 0.03#101
Short Left
74.3%
26 / 35 completions
Yards 313
YPC 12.0
Success 60.0%#12
PPA 0.41#43
Short Middle
73.7%
14 / 19 completions
Yards 209
YPC 14.9
Success 63.2%#12
PPA 0.88#13
Short Right
67.4%
29 / 43 completions
Yards 314
YPC 10.8
Success 53.5%#28
PPA 0.45#29
No recorded location 1 / 1 completions
Yards 19
YPA 19.0
Comp % 100.0%
Success 100.0%
PPA 2.60

111 of 113 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs South Dakota State W 34–18
-23.6
Wk 2
Bye — —
Wk 3
vs Colorado W 41–7
+22.2
Wk 4
@ Indiana L 23–29
+12.8
Wk 5
vs Penn State W 34–13
+21.7
Wk 6
vs Ball State W 45–14
-1.3
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Michigan State Proj: -7.9 71% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
vs Rutgers Proj: -17.7 88% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Oregon Proj: +14.9 16% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
vs Iowa Proj: +5.2 29% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Ohio State Proj: +22.1 6% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Minnesota Proj: -7.5 71% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Illinois Proj: -10.1 74% —