CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#89

UNLV

Mountain West · Conf Rank #4 ·
Net Rating -1.0
Strength of Schedule #87
Strength of Record #67
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 158
Comp % 56.3%#121
Yards 1,168
YPA 7.4
ADOT 10.4
INT 3
Success 41.7%#102
PPA 0.20#92
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
60.0%
3 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 120
YPC 40.0
Success 60.0%#13
PPA 1.42#18
Deep Middle
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 140
YPC 46.7
Success 42.9%#71
PPA 1.18#55
Deep Right
71.4%
5 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 204
YPC 40.8
Success 71.4%#7
PPA 2.04#4
Short Left
53.8%
21 / 39 completions
Yards 201
YPC 9.6
Success 43.6%#91
PPA 0.07#117
Short Middle
58.1%
25 / 43 completions
Yards 256
YPC 10.2
Success 41.9%#106
PPA -0.13#135
Short Right
60.8%
31 / 51 completions
Yards 237
YPC 7.7
Success 35.3%#125
PPA 0.18#96
No recorded location 1 / 4 completions
Yards 10
YPA 2.5
Comp % 25.0%
Success 25.0%
PPA -1.87

152 of 158 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs Memphis L 21–27
-8.0
Wk 1
@ Hawai'i W 21–6
+9.7
Wk 2
@ North Texas L 6–44
-25.3
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
@ Akron W 38–10
+16.8
Wk 5
vs California W 39–31
+3.9
Wk 6
vs North Dakota State W 13–7
+11.0
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Air Force Proj: -2.3 53% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Nov 1
vs Northern Illinois Proj: -18.4 93% —
Wk 10 Nov 8
vs Wyoming Proj: -14.1 84% —
Wk 11 Nov 15
@ New Mexico Proj: +12.7 16% —
Wk 12 Nov 22
@ San José State Proj: -3.4 53% —
Wk 13 Nov 29
vs Nevada Proj: -7.3 67% —