CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#128

Western Kentucky

Conference USA · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating -12.3
Strength of Schedule #81
Strength of Record #89
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 218
Comp % 60.6%#93
Yards 1,417
YPA 6.5
ADOT 7.3
INT 4
Success 37.8%#124
PPA 0.17#98
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
37.5%
3 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 137
YPC 45.7
Success 37.5%#56
PPA 1.17#27
Deep Middle
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 26
YPC 26.0
Success 33.3%#89
PPA 0.74#78
Deep Right
25.0%
2 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 48
YPC 24.0
Success 25.0%#101
PPA -0.19#118
Short Left
66.0%
35 / 53 completions
Yards 322
YPC 9.2
Success 43.4%#93
PPA 0.22#88
Short Middle
56.8%
21 / 37 completions
Yards 289
YPC 13.8
Success 35.1%#130
PPA 0.29#96
Short Right
67.3%
68 / 101 completions
Yards 570
YPC 8.4
Success 38.6%#110
PPA 0.28#60
No recorded location 2 / 7 completions
Yards 25
YPA 3.6
Comp % 28.6%
Success 14.3%
PPA -3.34

210 of 218 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Nevada L 14–49
-27.3
Wk 2
@ Georgia L 20–70
-1.9
Wk 3
@ Indiana L 0–38
+5.7
Wk 4
vs Mercyhurst W 52–7
+17.2
Wk 5
@ New Mexico State L 13–34
-13.5
Wk 6
vs Missouri State W 34–13
+18.2
Wk 7 Oct 15
@ Sam Houston Proj: +4.2 38% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 27
vs Delaware Proj: +3.0 47% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Middle Tennessee Proj: +2.7 38% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs Jacksonville State Proj: +9.2 29% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Liberty Proj: +26.4 6% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Kennesaw State Proj: +1.5 47% —