CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#62

UTSA

American Athletic · Conf Rank #4 ·
Net Rating +4.0
Strength of Schedule #80
Strength of Record #24
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 186
Comp % 67.7%#29
Yards 1,266
YPA 6.8
ADOT 6.3
INT 2
Success 41.9%#100
PPA 0.26#70
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
30.0%
3 / 10 completions
Yards 88
YPC 29.3
Success 30.0%#79
PPA 0.20#82
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -1.11
Deep Right
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 84
YPC 42.0
Success 28.6%#92
PPA 0.65#52
Short Left
71.6%
48 / 67 completions
Yards 420
YPC 8.8
Success 41.8%#103
PPA 0.31#68
Short Middle
64.3%
27 / 42 completions
Yards 298
YPC 11.0
Success 42.9%#104
PPA 0.22#108
Short Right
79.6%
43 / 54 completions
Yards 290
YPC 6.7
Success 44.4%#70
PPA 0.12#107
No recorded location 3 / 5 completions
Yards 86
YPA 17.2
Comp % 60.0%
Success 60.0%
PPA 1.22

181 of 186 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs UT Rio Grande Valley W 45–16
-14.1
Wk 2
@ Texas State W 31–26
+1.6
Wk 3
@ Texas L 6–30
-1.4
Wk 4
vs Colorado State W 59–45
+4.1
Wk 5
@ Rice W 16–14
-8.8
Wk 6
vs South Florida W 31–24
+5.8
Wk 7 Oct 18
vs Navy Proj: -16.7 88% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Tulane Proj: -1.2 53% —
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10 Nov 6
@ Florida Atlantic Proj: -5.2 71% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs North Texas Proj: +0.6 47% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ UAB Proj: -5.7 71% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Tulsa Proj: -10.9 74% —