CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#46

Florida State

ACC · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating +9.1
Strength of Schedule #29
Strength of Record #65
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 156
Comp % 59.6%#102
Yards 1,332
YPA 8.5
ADOT 9.5
INT 7
Success 43.6%#89
PPA 0.27#67
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 114
YPC 38.0
Success 42.9%#42
PPA 0.89#39
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 73
YPC 36.5
Success 66.7%#16
PPA 1.97#26
Deep Right
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 128
YPC 32.0
Success 44.4%#45
PPA 0.61#56
Short Left
61.9%
13 / 21 completions
Yards 89
YPC 6.8
Success 33.3%#126
PPA -0.12#134
Short Middle
80.0%
32 / 40 completions
Yards 447
YPC 14.0
Success 60.0%#24
PPA 0.66#43
Short Right
58.7%
27 / 46 completions
Yards 358
YPC 13.3
Success 43.5%#75
PPA 0.52#17
No recorded location 12 / 30 completions
Yards 123
YPA 4.1
Comp % 40.0%
Success 26.7%
PPA -0.78

126 of 156 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs New Mexico State W 34–17
-5.4
Wk 1
vs SMU L 24–27
+0.2
Wk 2
Bye — —
Wk 3
@ Alabama L 36–50
+8.1
Wk 4
vs Central Arkansas W 34–7
-10.7
Wk 5
vs Virginia W 38–7
+29.0
Wk 6
@ Louisville L 20–44
-17.8
Wk 7 Oct 17
@ Miami Proj: +22.2 6% —
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9 Oct 31
vs Clemson Proj: -8.2 74% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Boston College Proj: -11.1 76% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Pittsburgh Proj: +6.2 33% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs NC State Proj: -8.3 74% —
Wk 13 Nov 27
vs Florida Proj: +1.4 47% —