CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#100

California

ACC · Conf Rank #16 ·
Net Rating -3.2
Strength of Schedule #58
Strength of Record #105
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 256
Comp % 64.8%#59
Yards 1,826
YPA 7.1
ADOT 6.7
INT 5
Success 41.4%#105
PPA 0.13#113
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
45.5%
5 / 11 completions
Yards 152
YPC 30.4
Success 45.5%#39
PPA 0.91#38
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 81
YPC 40.5
Success 50.0%#48
PPA 1.41#45
Deep Right
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 102
YPC 25.5
Success 40.0%#57
PPA 0.04#99
Short Left
71.6%
73 / 102 completions
Yards 675
YPC 9.3
Success 46.1%#75
PPA 0.29#72
Short Middle
56.8%
21 / 37 completions
Yards 240
YPC 11.4
Success 37.8%#121
PPA 0.02#129
Short Right
69.0%
58 / 84 completions
Yards 498
YPC 8.6
Success 36.9%#116
PPA 0.02#120
No recorded location 3 / 8 completions
Yards 78
YPA 9.8
Comp % 37.5%
Success 37.5%
PPA -1.94

248 of 256 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs UCLA L 24–45
-17.6
Wk 2
@ Syracuse W 21–18
+12.7
Wk 3
vs Wagner W 49–7
+3.5
Wk 4
vs Clemson L 10–24
-11.5
Wk 5
@ UNLV L 31–39
-3.9
Wk 6
vs Virginia Tech W 25–20
+14.9
Wk 7 Oct 18
vs Wake Forest Proj: +11.8 24% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ SMU Proj: +20.7 6% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ NC State Proj: +11.0 26% —
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11 Nov 14
@ Virginia Proj: +15.2 15% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Stanford Proj: -12.8 84% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Pittsburgh Proj: +12.8 24% —