CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#116

Marshall

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #12 ·
Net Rating -8.5
Strength of Schedule #116
Strength of Record #93
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 205
Comp % 62.4%#80
Yards 1,487
YPA 7.3
ADOT 9.2
INT 7
Success 43.1%#92
PPA 0.28#66
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
11.1%
1 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 32
YPC 32.0
Success 11.1%#120
PPA -0.41#114
Deep Middle
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 31
YPC 31.0
Success 16.7%#114
PPA -0.64#117
Deep Right
60.0%
6 / 10 completions
Yards 178
YPC 29.7
Success 60.0%#11
PPA 1.58#13
Short Left
66.7%
42 / 63 completions
Yards 354
YPC 8.4
Success 39.7%#113
PPA 0.19#95
Short Middle
74.3%
26 / 35 completions
Yards 366
YPC 14.1
Success 57.1%#42
PPA 0.88#15
Short Right
70.3%
52 / 74 completions
Yards 526
YPC 10.1
Success 47.3%#60
PPA 0.36#44
No recorded location 0 / 7 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -5.57

197 of 205 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Penn State L 0–45
-15.6
Wk 2
vs Middle Tennessee W 28–26
+0.3
Wk 3
@ Missouri State W 30–24
+7.5
Wk 4
vs Gardner-Webb W 36–35
-25.1
Wk 5
@ James Madison L 17–45
-5.0
Wk 6
vs Coastal Carolina L 21–27
-7.9
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8 Oct 20
vs South Alabama Proj: -0.7 50% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Old Dominion Proj: +2.3 38% —
Wk 10 Nov 7
@ Georgia Southern Proj: +13.1 16% —
Wk 11 Nov 14
vs App State Proj: +1.5 47% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
vs Georgia State Proj: +7.1 29% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
@ UL Monroe Proj: -10.4 73% —