CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#130

Bowling Green

Mid-American · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating -13.5
Strength of Schedule #101
Strength of Record #119
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 151
Comp % 64.9%#58
Yards 993
YPA 6.6
ADOT 6.6
INT 3
Success 43.7%#87
PPA 0.17#99
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#123
PPA -0.86#130
Deep Middle
50.0%
3 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 99
YPC 33.0
Success 50.0%#48
PPA -0.25#114
Deep Right
0.0%
0 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#130
PPA -0.56#129
Short Left
57.9%
22 / 38 completions
Yards 234
YPC 10.6
Success 31.6%#131
PPA 0.08#112
Short Middle
78.1%
25 / 32 completions
Yards 291
YPC 11.6
Success 62.5%#16
PPA 0.87#16
Short Right
72.7%
48 / 66 completions
Yards 369
YPC 7.7
Success 47.0%#63
PPA 0.21#83
No recorded location 0 / 3 completions
Yards 0
YPA 0.0
Comp % 0.0%
Success 0.0%
PPA -4.78

148 of 151 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Tarleton State L 13–20
-33.6
Wk 2
@ Nebraska L 7–56
-19.5
Wk 3
@ Iowa State L 7–55
-17.5
Wk 4
vs South Florida L 6–14
+15.6
Wk 5
@ Miami (OH) W 24–20
+22.5
Wk 6
vs Sacramento State W 38–10
+23.7
Wk 7 Oct 17
vs Ball State Proj: -5.6 62% —
Wk 8 Oct 24
@ Buffalo Proj: +7.8 26% —
Wk 9 Oct 31
@ Western Michigan Proj: +15.8 12% —
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11 Nov 11
vs Kent State Proj: -8.3 74% —
Wk 12 Nov 21
@ Toledo Proj: +21.6 6% —
Wk 13 Nov 28
vs Massachusetts Proj: +3.0 47% —